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That is all based on the delusion of a V-shaped recovery from the pandemic. These bankruptcies contradict that fantasy. It takes time to prepare for filing. Many companies have, at least, small resources to weather through. The oil industry has weathered through tough times in recent years but has seen rises in bankruptcies each time, too. As described in the above video, many companies in the industry are now preparing to file for bankruptcy.
Unfortunately, it could be half that number in a year or two. Those businesses that are left, he says, will only survive by laying off people, and selling off assets. Because of forbearance rules in place during the shutdown, oil companies have been able to forestall bankruptcy. Still, it is not at all clear that demand for gasoline will return to previous levels before forbearance expires. Many businesses plan to stay with working remotely, which means less commuting.
Most big events that involve a lot of traffic are shut down for the summer and maybe longer. So, Big Oil has a lot of pain to come. The same can be said for retail and restaurants, where many businesses that shut down during the crisis have not opened since the economy was officially reopened.
That means they are probably down for the count. Some are not even filling up to their reduced occupancy limit because customers are afraid to return. The stock market has run far ahead of the economy, and the economy does not look like it has any intention of catching up. Instead, we will continue to see wave after wave of bankruptcies resulting in permanent job losses where businesses reopened. Sam Bourgi edited this article for CCN. If you see a breach of our Code of Ethics or Rights and Duties of the Editor or find a factual, spelling, or grammar error, please contact us.
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